XRP is hovering near $1.006, down around 3.2% on the day, as the token continues to defend the psychologically significant $1 threshold. While traders have been looking for a rebound from this level, XRP has instead remained under pressure as Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana have shown stronger performance. The next breakout or breakdown could determine whether XRP begins a potential Wave 3 rally or falls toward deeper support.
Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO has mapped out a bullish scenario in which XRP must first reclaim the $1.30-$1.60 region and then break above $1.96. Clearing those hurdles would, according to the analysis, strengthen the case for a Wave 3 advance toward $3.00-$3.60.
The downside structure is equally important. XRP has initial support between $1.00 and $0.95, followed by a stronger level around $0.75. If those areas fail to attract buyers, the token could slide toward the $0.60-$0.52 range.
XRP’s underperformance has become increasingly noticeable. That Martini Guy pointed out that Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana recovered last week, while XRP lost approximately 5% even as ETF-related inflows continued.
The latest price action remains compressed. XRP is around $1.006, down 1.34% over the past 24 hours, after trading between $1.0038 and $1.0218. Such a narrow range suggests that traders are waiting for a catalyst rather than committing strongly to either direction.
TradingView identifies $1.06 as the next resistance to watch. A successful move above that level could bring $1.35 into view, followed by $1.64 if bullish momentum accelerates. CoinGecko’s 24-hour range also remains tightly centered around the current price, highlighting XRP’s current state of consolidation.
Bullish scenario: XRP breaks above $1.06 and advances through the $1.30-$1.60 resistance area. A subsequent move above $1.96 would provide stronger confirmation of the projected Wave 3 setup, with $3.00-$3.60 becoming a potential longer-term target.
Base scenario: The token continues trading sideways between $0.95 and $1.06 while the market waits for a decisive catalyst.
Bearish scenario: XRP loses the $1.00-$0.95 support region, potentially exposing $0.75. A sustained sell-off below that level could put the $0.60-$0.52 zone back on the radar.
The $1 mark has become a critical test for XRP investors. While the asset has benefited from continued ETF demand and growing real-world-asset activity on the XRP Ledger, those fundamentals have yet to translate into a decisive technical breakout. Tokenized assets on the ledger have reportedly expanded to $4.06 billion across 373 assets, up sharply from $73 million in January 2025.
For traders waiting for a Wave 3 move, patience may be required, as the setup could take several weeks to fully develop. This has also encouraged some investors to look beyond established large-cap cryptocurrencies and toward earlier-stage infrastructure projects where smaller valuations can leave more room for potential expansion.
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This article is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency prices can be highly volatile and unpredictable. Anyone considering an investment should conduct independent research and assess the associated risks before making a decision.
