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S&P 500 Hits Correction Territory – How Will Bitcoin React?

S&P 500 Enters Correction Territory – What History Tells Us About Bitcoin’s Reaction

The S&P 500 has officially entered correction territory, marking a 10% decline from its all-time high. If the index were to drop another 10%, it would signal the beginning of a bear market. But should investors be concerned? A historical look at past corrections shows that significant declines in the S&P 500 have often impacted Bitcoin as well.

How Bitcoin Has Reacted to Past Market Corrections

Since Bitcoin’s inception in 2009, the S&P 500 has faced multiple 20% corrections, with notable events shaping both traditional and crypto markets:

  • 2008 Global Financial Crisis: The S&P 500 plunged nearly 60%, though Bitcoin was still in its early days.
  • 2019 Market Decline: During Bitcoin’s bear market, the S&P 500 dropped 20%, while Bitcoin fell 85% from its all-time high.
  • March 2020 COVID-19 Crash: The S&P 500 collapsed nearly 40%, and Bitcoin plummeted 60% before rebounding.
  • 2022 Market Correction: A 25% drop in the S&P 500 was followed by Bitcoin hitting a cycle low of $15,000, bottoming out a month later.

Is Bitcoin’s 30% Correction in Line with History?

Corrections of 10% in the S&P 500 are not uncommon, and Bitcoin has historically responded with more volatile downturns. In the current correction, Bitcoin has dropped 30% from its all-time high, a pattern consistent with past bull market pullbacks.

Notably, the most recent 30% correction occurred in August 2024 during the yen carry trade unwind, reinforcing the idea that such price swings are a normal part of market cycles.

While history doesn’t guarantee future performance, past trends suggest that corrections in both markets are part of broader financial cycles, rather than signals of long-term reversals.