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Crypto Majors Sink as Iran Conflict Sends Investors Fleeing Risk

Crypto’s largest tokens moved lower over the past day, with Solana, Tron and other high-beta assets falling much more sharply than bitcoin as investors turned cautious following U.S. strikes on Iran.

The sell-off was concentrated in the more volatile parts of the market. Solana and Tron each dropped more than 3% over 24 hours, compared with a roughly 1% decline for bitcoin. The performance gap suggests traders were cutting exposure to riskier positions while treating BTC as the relatively safer asset within crypto.

Bitcoin was trading near $77,500 during Wednesday’s Asian session.

Solana slipped toward $100 and Tron fell to about $0.32, making them the biggest losers among the major cryptocurrencies. Ether declined around 2% to just above $2,414, while XRP lost nearly 2% to roughly $1.35. Dogecoin fell close to 2% to slightly above $0.08, and HYPE declined more than 1% to around $83.

BNB held up better than its peers, slipping less than 1% to about $687, CoinDesk data showed.

There was some evidence of dip-buying, however, with all of the major tokens recovering during the hour before publication. The rebound came even as Asian equity markets posted their steepest losses, showing that crypto buyers were willing to step in despite the broader risk-off environment.

Geopolitics Pushes Oil and Yields Higher

The latest crypto weakness appears to be driven primarily by macroeconomic developments rather than a crypto-specific catalyst.

Brent crude climbed above $95 as the U.S. strikes increased concerns over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.81%, its highest level in roughly three years.

Japan also saw sharp moves in its bond market. The five-year government bond yield reached a record, while the 10-year yield touched 3% for the first time in three decades. Japanese stocks dropped more than 2%, and South Korea’s Kospi fell more than 3%.

Interest-rate expectations are adding to the pressure on digital assets. CME FedWatch data showed traders pricing in a 66% chance of a September Fed rate hike, up from around 40% a week earlier. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh had also indicated at Jackson Hole that monetary policy might not yet be restrictive enough to contain inflation.

Gold’s decline adds another wrinkle to the market narrative. The metal fell to approximately $4,296 an ounce for a second consecutive session, suggesting the current sell-off cannot simply be explained as capital moving from risk assets into traditional hard assets.

Bitfinex analysts had previously said bitcoin could consolidate or continue rising unless weakness spread broadly across risk assets and pulled BTC lower with it.

LMAX Group strategist Joel Kruger identified $80,000 as a key upside level for bitcoin, followed by the May peak around $82,820.

U.S. Jobs Report in Focus

Friday’s August employment report could provide the next major signal for markets. Economists expect the U.S. economy to add around 55,000 jobs after recording a loss of 23,000 positions in July. Inflation figures are due Sept. 11.

A stronger labor-market reading could strengthen the case for a September rate increase and prolong pressure on higher-beta cryptocurrencies. That would leave Solana and other volatile tokens vulnerable as markets approach the Sept. 15 Clarity Act vote and the Federal Reserve’s decision one day later.