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Warsh’s Jackson Hole Address Could Test Bitcoin and Gold’s Latest Rally

Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium has turned positive again for the first time since May, suggesting that U.S. buying interest may be strengthening as BTC attempts to hold near the $80,000 mark.

The move means Bitcoin is currently commanding a higher price on Coinbase than on Binance, pointing to stronger relative demand among traders on the U.S.-based platform.

CoinGlass data shows the premium crossed above zero on Friday, reversing a months-long period of negative readings. The indicator tracks the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and Binance and is commonly viewed as a gauge of U.S. market demand.

The shift follows Bitcoin’s rally from around $63,000 to above $80,000, while U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have also experienced renewed investor interest. Coinbase provides custody services for several of these funds.

According to SoSoValue, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded approximately $3.51 billion in inflows, their strongest showing since October 2025. BlackRock’s IBIT has been a major contributor to the recent flow of capital.

A sustained Coinbase Premium has historically been associated with periods of strong Bitcoin demand from U.S. investors. When BTC trades above its Binance price on Coinbase, it can indicate that U.S. buyers are willing to pay more, a trend that has frequently appeared during Bitcoin’s bullish market cycles.

However, the latest positive reading is not enough by itself to confirm a broader trend reversal. Continued strength in the premium would provide a stronger indication that U.S. demand is helping drive Bitcoin’s current rally.

BTC now faces a key technical barrier around $81,000, where its 50-week simple moving average is positioned. Breaking and holding above that level could give the bulls greater control and potentially open the way toward higher prices.

A rejection at the $81,000 area, on the other hand, could send Bitcoin back into its recent range, even as Coinbase demand shows signs of improving.