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Figure’s Market Debut Mixed as Analysts at KBW and BofA Clash on Outlook

Figure’s Wall Street Debut Draws Mixed Reactions

Blockchain lender Figure (FIGR) is gaining attention for its dominance in tokenized credit markets, but analysts differ on its growth prospects.

KBW: Bullish Outlook

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) gave an “outperform” rating with a $48.50 12-month target, citing Figure’s 73% share of private tokenized credit and 39% of all tokenized real-world assets. KBW sees potential for expansion into first-lien mortgages, personal loans, and third-party tokenization via Figure Exchange.

Bernstein Shares Optimism

Bernstein also rated Figure “outperform” with a $54 target, noting that its tokenization model makes lending faster and more efficient, similar to stablecoins in payments.

BofA: Cautious Stance

Bank of America rated Figure “neutral” at $41, pointing to regulatory, execution, and HELOC concentration risks. It highlighted Figure Connect, the firm’s lender-capital matching marketplace, as a key growth driver, projected to contribute 75% of revenue growth from 2024–2027.

Divergent Views Highlight Uncertainty

While all acknowledge Figure’s leadership in tokenized credit, the gap between KBW’s $48.50 and BofA’s $41 targets underscores uncertainty over the company’s ability to scale blockchain solutions across broader fintech markets.

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