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Big Bet on Bitcoin: Trader Eyes 28% Rally in BlackRock’s Spot ETF by Month-End

Options Market Turns Bullish as Trader Bets on 28% Surge in BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF by Month-End

Sentiment around BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) shifted decisively bullish on Tuesday, as options activity signaled rising optimism and expectations for significant price movement by the end of June.

A standout trade drew attention when a market participant purchased 3,000 contracts of the IBIT $77 strike call option set to expire on June 27, according to data from Barchart.com. The trader paid a total premium of $39,000, positioning for a sharp upside move in the ETF—which closed the day at $60.40.

This trade implies a bullish outlook, as the $77 strike price suggests the buyer is anticipating a 28%+ rally in IBIT over the next few weeks.

Call options grant the right to purchase an asset at a specific price before expiration, and such out-of-the-money bets typically reflect either high-conviction directional views or hedging against larger long positions.

Market watcher EndGame Macro commented on the trade, noting its aggressive stance:

“With IBIT at $60.40 and the $77 strike nearly 28% out of the money, the trader may be anticipating a powerful trigger—such as ETF inflows spiking, a shift in macro policy, or regulatory clarity. Whether it’s a targeted moonshot or a hedge, the trader is clearly expecting major volatility ahead of June 27.”

Options sentiment broadly aligned with this view. According to Market Chameleon, the one-year put-call skew turned negative, indicating call options are now more expensive than puts—a classic sign of bullish sentiment returning to the market.

This marks a reversal from last week, when puts commanded a premium, reflecting caution or downside protection.

With implied volatility rising and upside bets re-emerging, traders appear to be positioning for potential catalysts that could propel Bitcoin—and by extension, BlackRock’s IBIT—higher in the weeks ahead.