Crypto Week Ahead offers a rundown of the major developments in digital assets and the macro events expected to shape market sentiment. (Readers can also subscribe to Crypto Daybook Americas for daily updates on key catalysts.)
The final week of March is poised for heightened volatility. The FTX Recovery Trust is set to distribute $2.2 billion to creditors on Tuesday, while the closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for Friday — a session when many global equity markets will be closed for Good Friday.
Geopolitical risks continue to loom large. The Middle East conflict, now in its fifth week, has disrupted key energy infrastructure and transport routes, driving up inflation expectations and altering the outlook for monetary policy.
“Bitcoin, a highly reflexive and liquidity-sensitive asset, tends to react early to shifts in risk appetite and has already repriced lower since October 2025,” said Luke Deans, senior research associate at Bitwise. “This suggests digital assets began adjusting to tighter financial conditions ahead of traditional risk assets.”
Deans added that global macro forces remain the dominant driver of sentiment. While liquidity conditions will play a role, the broader backdrop remains fragile amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
