Early September Could Mark Bitcoin’s Low Ahead of Q4 Momentum – 12/9/2025
Historical patterns indicate that Bitcoin (BTC) $115,912.40 likely reached its September 2025 low of around $107,000 on the first day of the month.
Since July 2024, Bitcoin has frequently set monthly lows within the first ten days. Notable exceptions—February, June, and August 2025—saw lows later in the month, but early-month corrections still preceded the broader market trend.
Analysts suggest that these early-month lows may be influenced by institutional portfolio rebalancing or clusters of macroeconomic events occurring at the start of the month.
Oliver Knight, deputy managing editor for data and tokens at CoinDesk, notes: “Futures and options markets often expire at the end of one month or the start of the next, causing short-term volatility and a lull as traders rollover or reposition trades.”
While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, Q4 has historically been Bitcoin’s strongest quarter, with an average return of 85%. October, in particular, has been favorable, with only two losing months since 2013.
