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“XRP Climbs 4% as Investors Brace for 99% Likelihood of Fed Rate Cut”

XRP Consolidates Below $3.00 as Institutional Flows Control Short-Term Range

September 9, 2025

XRP climbed toward the $3.00 level before pulling back to close at $2.95, holding support above $2.88. Repeated rejections near $2.99 highlight how institutional trading is shaping short-term price action.

Market Context

  • Federal Reserve futures imply a 99% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut on September 17, boosting crypto sentiment amid a softer dollar.
  • Exchange reserves hit a 12-month high, suggesting ample supply on platforms even as whales accumulated roughly 10 million XRP in minutes during the breakout.
  • Six spot XRP ETF applications are under SEC review in October, providing a structural catalyst for traders.

Price Action & Technicals

  • XRP rose from $2.89 to an intraday high of $2.995 (+4%) before closing at $2.95.
  • Volume spiked to 159.63M at 13:00—almost three times the daily average—confirming institutional participation.
  • Support at $2.88–$2.89 remained firm, while $2.995–$3.00 capped upside.
  • RSI mid-50s signals neutral-to-bullish momentum; MACD histogram nears a bullish crossover.
  • Consolidation under $3.00 continues; a confirmed close above $3.05 could target $3.30–$3.50.

Traders’ Watchlist

  • Daily close above $2.99–$3.00 to flip resistance into support.
  • Fed meeting on Sept. 17: surprises could impact crypto liquidity.
  • Whale accumulation trends.
  • SEC ETF rulings in October, including Grayscale and Bitwise, may reshape institutional demand for XRP.